BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Appalachian St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 34 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  164.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L   169.56  38  45   1A  12 (  9-  3) Penn State              3.81    -10.81                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    W   179.00  45   9   1A 107 (  5-  7) UNC-Charlotte          13.24     22.76                      
  3 09/22/2018 Home    W   170.46  72   7   1B 107 (  3-  8) Gardner-Webb            4.71 *   60.29                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W * 174.46  52   7   1A 125 (  3-  9) South Alabama           8.71 *   36.29                      
  5 10/09/2018 Away    W * 180.58  35   9   1A  81 (  8-  4) Arkansas St            14.83     11.17                      
  6 10/20/2018 Home    W * 154.76  27  17   1A  95 (  7-  7) Louisiana-Lafayette   -10.99     20.99                      
  7 10/25/2018 Away    L * 136.14  14  34   1A  74 ( 10-  3) Georgia Southern      -29.61      9.61                      
  8 11/03/2018 Away    W * 158.74  23   7   1A 110 (  5-  7) Coastal Carolina       -7.01     23.01                      
  9 11/10/2018 Away    W * 165.93  38   7   1A 124 (  3-  9) Texas St-San Marcos     0.18     30.82                      
 10 11/17/2018 Home    W * 163.00  45  17   1A 118 (  2- 10) Georgia St             -2.75     30.75                      
 11 11/24/2018 Home    W * 162.06  21  10   1A  86 (  9-  3) Troy                   -3.69     14.69                      
 12 12/01/2018 Home    W * 155.76  30  19   1A  95 (  7-  7) Louisiana-Lafayette    -9.99     20.99                      
 13 12/15/2018 Neutral W   184.32  45  13   1A  82 (  8-  6) Middle Tennessee St    18.57     13.43                      
      Averages             165.75  37.3 15.5

Best game:  184.32 = 32 point win over Middle Tennessee St
Worst game: 136.14 = 20 point loss to Georgia Southern
Team stdev:  12.98